A Case Study of Driving Factors of Beijing's Ecosystem Service Value Changes Based on Spatial Durbin Model

Abstract

Since the “the 13th Five-Year Plan for Economic and Social Development of the People’s Republic of China” in Beijing, the overall environmental planning has been carried out. Research on the driving factors of ecosystem service value can reflect the important factors affecting the area and surrounding areas, and provide focus for future policies. In order to study the driving factors of changes of Beijing’s ecosystem service value (ESV), this paper
selects data from 16 counties and districts in Beijing in the four phases of 2010, 2013, 2015, and 2018, and analyzes ecological services by constructing the spatial Durbin model (SDM). The influence of time and space factors in the area of value change. Research shows that: (1) On the whole, the improvement of the economic environment of all counties and districts in Beijing has a spatial spillover effect on the ecosystem service value. Changes in economic
and environmental factors in each region will affect changes in the value of ecological services in the surrounding areas. (2) Social security, energy consumption ratio and gross domestic product are all important factors for the changes in the ecosystem service value in the region, while the industrial structure, greening rate, social security, arable land area, energy consumption ratio, and environmental expenditure can radiate ecosystem service value in the surrounding area and also are key elements to enhance the ecosystem service value. In the future, a systematic framework of influencing factors should be established, and related variables should be handled more refined.